Global Power Index
Geopolitical Risk & Momentum Tracker
Measures geopolitical integration vs. isolation. High RII = Isolated/Pariah (e.g., SY, YE). Low RII = Deeply integrated via bilateral defense pacts, multilateral blocs, and economic hubs (e.g., IL, KR, DE, CY).
The Global Power Index (GPI) is a composite score reflecting the estimated relative geopolitical influence of each tracked country on a given day. It synthesises five structural dimensions using a fixed weighted formula applied to normalised 0–100 scores per dimension.
Important caveat: Baseline scores are manually set estimates grounded in publicly available data. What changes daily is a news-event adjustment derived from GDELT, which nudges individual dimension scores up or down. This is an approximation of short-term momentum, not a precise measurement.
— × Economyscore
+ — × Militaryscore
+ — × Energyscore
+ — × Diplomacyscore
+ — × Technologyscore
// Each sub-score ∈ [0, 100]
// 1-day: point-to-point delta
// 7/30-day: cumulative sum of calibrated daily changes
// Negative signals amplified ×—, positives dampened ×— // Adjustments < ±— pts are zeroed. // Daily Δ clamped to ±— pts. // Deterministic offset (±—) prevents score clustering. // Scores pull toward the 30-day baseline at —/day.
Raw score deltas are processed through a calibrated momentum pipeline:
1) Scaling: Positive Δ × —, negative Δ × —.
2) Noise Filter: Adjustments < ±— pts are zeroed.
3) Hard Cap: Daily Δ clamped to ±— pts.
4) Micro-Variance: Deterministic offset (±—) prevents score clustering.
5) Mean Reversion: Scores pull toward the 30-day baseline at —/day.
// Momentum clamped to [−—, +—]
// Signals = Σ(GDELT events), ÷—, capped at —
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